Browse our collection of papers in
Forecasting
C/E/439. Value of Altman's Z score and Argenti's A score models for different society groups
- WORDS:
- 2000
- DATE:
- 2010
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper compares the models proposed by Altman (Z score model) and Argenti (A score model) for financial analysis of companies examining their differences and discussing the implications of each model for different society groups, i.e. businessmen, investors, creditors, etc. in their economic decision-making.
KEYWORDS: Altman’s Z score model, Argenti’s A score model, company analysis,
C/F/485. Economic Analysis of Financial Statements
- WORDS:
- 2800
- DATE:
- 2009
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper examines the performance of Retail Ventures Inc. (RVI) and J. C. Penney Company, Inc. (JCP) companies, analysing their Income Statements and Balance Sheets of 2006-2008. Analysis of the costs behaviour is conducted showing how it allows managers to predict profits when sales and production changes.
KEYWORDS: Retail Ventures, J. C. Penney, Cost behaviour, income statement, balance sheet, financial statements,
C/F/433. Sales forecast and project management
- WORDS:
- 1500
- DATE:
- 2009
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper looks at the methods of sale projections and activities management, i.e. the methods of linear functions and more complicated methods of logarithmic and polynomial functions. It is shown that the accuracy of the forecast will depend on the model chosen for the prediction and the past performance data.
KEYWORDS: f, sales, forecast, project, management,
C/F/454. Resource Management: Critical Path Analysis and Cash Flow Forecast
- WORDS:
- 1600
- DATE:
- 2009
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper offers an example of a Critical Path Analysis (CPA) chart and a cash-flow forecast for an office relocation project demonstrating how to lay out a forecast and what factors need to be considered. References to relevant literature are made reinforce the ideas surrounding the creation of a cash-flow forecast.
KEYWORDS: f, resource, management, critical, path, cash, flow, forecast,
C/C/106. Multiple Regression Model
- WORDS:
- 1500
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper offers statistical analysis of the profitability of British firms based on a number of variables. A set of multiple regression and forecasting methods is used to estimate the determinants of profitability.
KEYWORDS: multiple, regression, model,
C/F/326. Forecasting Stock market performance with macroeconomic variables
- WORDS:
- 2300
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper presents a forecast Dow Jones Industrial Average index performance. The forecast is based on the macroeconomic variables such as the price of gold and oil, and GDP. The OLS regression is used as a base model for forecasting.
KEYWORDS: forecasting macroeconomics stock market, Dow Jones, GDP, OLS,
C/F/334. Company Financial Forecasting: Carillion Plc
- WORDS:
- 1600
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper presents financial performance analysis of Carillion Plc examining their recent financial results, accounting statements, and financial ratios obtained from the annual reports for 2001-2007. The future prospects of the company and their financial strategy are discussed, analysis of the company from investors' viewpoint is conducted highlighting the factors that influence the company's performance and suggesting investment recommendations.
KEYWORDS: Financial statement, Carillion, forecast,
C/F/412. Analysis of market factors affecting price fluctuations of corn
- WORDS:
- 2500
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper examines the market features that affect the rates of demand and supply of corn. A brief description of the commodity is presented including its sellers and buyers, factors affecting the demand and supply of corn are identified, trends in corn prices over the last three years are considered, assumptions are made about the possible price levels of corn in the next year.
KEYWORDS: Commodity trade, corn, demand and supply, price fluctuation,
S/F/178. Dissertation. Application of FX volatility models in forecasting and risk management
- WORDS:
- 12300
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 129.99 GBP
The dissertation investigates whether the volatility models used for the forecasting of two foreign exchange (FX) rates (Euro/USD and USD/JPY) can be applied to risk management. The literature review covers the studies of 16 different models used for FX volatility forecasts including GARCH, SV, VaR, NNR, etc. The models are applied to the analysis of the FX data for the periods of 1998 to 2002 and 2002 to 2003. Conclusions are made about the combination approaches with relation to risk management and forecasting accuracy.
KEYWORDS: Dissertation, exchange rate, FX, volatility models, forecasting, risk management,
S/F/215. Analysis of financial position and performance of Vodafone Group Plc in 2004-2007 with forecasts for 2008, statistical analysis and calculation of equity fundamental value using Residual Income model
- WORDS:
- 3700
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 39.99 GBP
The paper examines financial position and performance of Vodafone Group PLC over the period from 2004 to 2007 presenting their balance sheets analysis, income statements analysis, and ratio analysis. Comparisons are drawn between the company performance indices and those of their main competitor British Telecom. Forecasts for 2008 are made estimating the company's share value.
KEYWORDS: Financial analysis, balance sheet, income statement, financial ratios, Vodafone, Briti,
C/F/195. Forecasting Stock market performance
- WORDS:
- 2000
- DATE:
- 2007
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The following research is devoted to forecasting Dow Jones Industrial Average index performance. The forecast is based on the macroeconomic variables and OLS regression.
KEYWORDS: Forecasting, macroeconomics, stock market,
C/F/202. A case study of the information gathering, usage and dissemination process for the short term demand forecasting in an online travel company
- WORDS:
- 3000
- DATE:
- 2007
- PRICE:
- 39.99 GBP
This report analyses the processes by which information is collected and managed in an online travel company. The report looks into the specific test case of short-term demand forecasting. The report begins with the description of the objective, and a brief description of the company and its operations to set the scene. Then all relevant sources of information required to aid in decision making for short term demand forecasting is identified and justification is given as to why that information is required, or why information that is deemed required is not included. The types of information gathering techniques used to identify the information required for short term demand forecasting is explained and a sample data set of the information that would be used for short term demand forecasting us collected. Different analytical techniques are used for knowledge discovery from the sample data set. The information that has been gathered is stored in relevant formats and displayed using software packages to achieve different formats of the information. Finally, an assessment of the information requirements of different audiences who will use the information is conducted a method of dissemination is suggested.
KEYWORDS: Web analytics, managing information, information management, online travel company, we,
C/E/130. Design a fictitious company that operates in the UK. If you were given ?50m, would you reinvest it in the UK or use the capital to open another operation in a foreign country?
- WORDS:
- 3000
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 39.99 GBP
The essay provides detailed analysis of an investment of ?50m into three countries: the UK, Russia and Poland. The essay looks at different forms that the business can take (e.g. subsidiary, joint venture), outlines different types of risks (currency, political, economic) and methods on how to hedge those risks. The work proposes debt to equity ratio, and provides reasons for it. Taxation is explained in detail, and is built into 4 year forecast of profits for each country (should it be the receiver of the investment). Other aspects of the business are also covered eg. Marketing, accounting and impact of the employees of the existing firm in the UK.
KEYWORDS: Company, UK, analysis, forecasting, debt, investment, hedge, joint venture, subsidiary,
C/E/138. Using Excel to analyze a sample of data
- WORDS:
- 1700
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
This report develops some basic Excel to analyze two samples of data. 3 groups of descriptive statistics are computed, first for the raw-data and then for grouped-data. The report then evaluates the suitability of the descriptive statistics based on specific features of the data.
KEYWORDS: Excel, descriptive statistics, statistics,
C/F/117. Forecasting Financial Market Volatility
- WORDS:
- 2300
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The following research paper is devoted to analysis of the volatility on the financial markets. The analysis is based on univariate time series properties of the Nasdaq Financial Sector index. The data sample for research covers the period from 12/1992 to 12/2005. The research employs ARMA, and GARCH family models and discusses implication of the asymmetric volatility in the financial data, particular focus is given to feedback trading analysis. The step-by-step process of model selection is fully described, which make this paper particular useful for students interested in econometrics.
KEYWORDS: f, forecasting, financial, market, volatility,
C/F/130. Time Series seasonal adjustment
- WORDS:
- 500
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 9.99 GBP
The following research provides an example of the seasonal time series data adjustment and implementation of exponential smoothing model that is used for forecasting. The analysis is based on disposable household income in UK.
KEYWORDS: Seasonal time series, disposable household income,
C/F/150. Financial forecast
- WORDS:
- 1800
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The analysis of company's financial statements is essential to see the development of company over time, to forecast future potential and to facilitate investors' decision making. However, the analysis has to be presented in the light of internal and external conditions taking place within a business. An application of statistical methods is needed to provide an accuracy of forecast.
KEYWORDS: f, financial, forecast,
P/E/342. Implications of the rational expectations theory
- WORDS:
- 1000
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper offers a critique of Keynesian theory reviewing the theory of rational expectations (RE) by Muth which claims that by learning the patterns of economic activity one can anticipate and adapt to economic changes avoiding forecasting errors. Implications of the RE model for the government policy are examined, positive and negative aspects of the theory are outlined.
KEYWORDS: implications, rational, expectations, theory,
P/F/458. Volatility analysis
- WORDS:
- 1500
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper looks at the concept of volatility reviewing theoretical opinions about its importance and examining volatility in the stock market index of Standard & Poors (S&P) 500 for daily and weekly data from January 1990 to December 2004.
KEYWORDS: Volatility, stock market,
S/F/90. Forecasting Russian Interbank Interest Rates using ARIMA, GARCH, EGARCH and the cross product models
- WORDS:
- 4700
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 49.99 GBP
This paper develops ARIMA, GARCH, EGARCH and the cross product models to forecast Russian Interbank 30 day and 90 day interest rates. The relative performance of the first differenced for stationarity purposes interest rates is then compared using a short-term out of sample forecast. On the basis of forecasting performance ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,2) for the 30 day maturity interest rate and AR(1)-GARCH(0,1) for the 90 day maturity are selected.
KEYWORDS: ARIMA, GARCH, forecasting, interest rates,
C/F/80. Forecasting the volume share
- WORDS:
- 1700
- DATE:
- 2005
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
Initial data contains the price and the volume share of some product over 26 sequential four-week sales periods. The aim of the work is to predict the sales for the next 4 sales periods by analyzing the given data using the multiplicative time-series decomposition. Descriptive statistics of the initial data is presented, linear trend is defined, and the multiplicative model is fitted to the data resolving the seasonal variations. Precision of the forecast is assessed and the applicability of the methods of forecasting is discussed.
KEYWORDS: f, forecasting, volume, share,
P/B/499. Profitability of oil industry: analysis and forecast
- WORDS:
- 1500
- DATE:
- 2005
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper seeks to identify parameters of profitability for an industry applying Porter's Five Forces model to the analysis of the oil industry. An overview of the oil industry is provided including worlds main oil suppliers and buyers, OPEC policy, power substitutes, competition within oil industry, etc.
KEYWORDS: profitability, oil, industry, forecast,
P/E/366. Forecasting methods in unemployment data analysis
- WORDS:
- 3000
- DATE:
- 2005
- PRICE:
- 39.99 GBP
The paper reviews the theory of business forecasting conducting statistical analysis of the UK monthly unemployment data for 1983 ? 2004, and using forecasting methods to identify unemployment patterns and trends.
KEYWORDS: forecasting, methods, unemployment, data,
P/F/328. Forecasting UKs real GDP: methodology of time series model development
- WORDS:
- 2500
- DATE:
- 2005
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper reports on the methodology in developing a time series model of the UKs real Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The model is aimed to produce forecasts of quarterly U.K. real GDP for the coming year on the basis of currently available data. Stages of modelling and trend models are analysed within deterministic and stochastic trends. The test of the chosen deterministic trend model is conducted.
KEYWORDS: f, forecasting, uks, real, gdp, methodology, time, series, model, development,
P/F/379. Variables influencing inflation rates in UK
- WORDS:
- 3000
- DATE:
- 2005
- PRICE:
- 39.99 GBP
The paper analyses the factors behind inflation identifying the main determinants of the UK short run fluctuations in inflation over the past 25 years. Economic theories of inflation are reviewed highlighting the variables of unit wage cost, employment levels, and interest rates and analyzing their correlation and influence on UK inflation rates.
KEYWORDS: f, variables, influencing, inflation, rates, uk,
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