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Forecasting

S/F/178. Dissertation. Application of FX volatility models in forecasting and risk management

WORDS:
12300
DATE:
2008
PRICE:
129.99 GBP

The dissertation investigates whether the volatility models used for the forecasting of two foreign exchange (FX) rates (Euro/USD and USD/JPY) can be applied to risk management. The literature review covers the studies of 16 different models used for FX volatility forecasts including GARCH, SV, VaR, NNR, etc. The models are applied to the analysis of the FX data for the periods of 1998 to 2002 and 2002 to 2003. Conclusions are made about the combination approaches with relation to risk management and forecasting accuracy.

 

KEYWORDS: Dissertation, exchange rate, FX, volatility models, forecasting, risk management,

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