Browse our collection of papers in
Forecasting (Economics)
C/E/731. Air Transport Forecasting and Market Research via Questionnaire
- WORDS:
- 2800
- DATE:
- 2011
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper reports on primary research conducted via a questionnaire distributed among air travellers to improve business class services of airlines. A sample questionnaire is presented, the rationale behind the choice of questions and the principles of the questionnaire distribution are explained, the areas tested by the questions are defined, the ‘halo effect’ in trait ratings is explained.
KEYWORDS: Air transport forecasting, market research, questionnaire, halo effect,
C/C/283. Statistical analysis and forecasting of sea passenger traffic from UK to France
- WORDS:
- 2100
- DATE:
- 2011
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper examines the patterns of seasonal behaviour and trends in passenger movements by sea from the UK to France over 1979-2010 analysing in-sample data series, calculating the seasonal index, and presenting time series forecasts using decomposition method, Holt’s method based on deseasonalized data and Holt-Winter’s method. The accuracy of the forecasts is evaluated. The paper has no references.
KEYWORDS: Statistical analysis, forecasting, sea passenger traffic, from UK to France,
C/E/681. Forecasting of recession using the US yield curve
- WORDS:
- 2050
- DATE:
- 2011
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
This paper aims to discuss forecasting of recession using the US yield curve. The paper begins by providing information on the yield curve, and explains the methodology. The data used s the NBER’s recording of US economic peaks and troughs, and the paper describes this data in detail. The results are analysed, and the paper concludes by summarising the results and by providing recommendations for the improvement of the model.
KEYWORDS: Forecasting, recession, yield curve, NBER,
C/E/651. Dissertation. Evaluation of the effectiveness of forecasting in times of financial crisis.
- WORDS:
- 10350
- DATE:
- 2011
- PRICE:
- 109.99 GBP
This dissertation aims to discover whether it is possible to accurately forecast the way in which an exchange rate market will operate, focusing on periods of financial crisis. Focus is made on the Sterling/Euro exchange rate in order to assess the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) and the way in which invest forecast accurately. The study also pays great attention to the overreaction hypothesis. The dissertation begins by presenting the background to the study and to EMH. The aims and rationale behind the study are also presented. The review of literature analyses the works and theory of a wide range of scholars, like Brown, Harlow, and Tinic, Atkins and Dyl, Zarowin, and Dissanaike. Primary data is collected by analysis of empirical data, and the paper focuses on transaction costs and Measurement of Above-average Returns. Secondary data is collected through analysis of the literature mentioned in the review. The methodology highlights the limitations of both forms of research. The finding section looks at the arguments supporting both the EMH and the overreaction hypothesis. Conclusions are made regarding the aim of the research, and an overview of the project and recommendations are made for further research.
KEYWORDS: Dissertation, forecast, exchange rate market, financial crisis, Sterling/Euro exchange rate, efficient market hypothesis, EMH, overreaction hypothesis, transaction costs, Measurement of Above-average Returns,
C/E/596. Proposal. Effectiveness of Euro exchange rate forecasts in conditions of financial crisis
- WORDS:
- 2350
- DATE:
- 2010
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper proposes to examine the fluctuations of the Euro with the aim to identify the mechanisms of foreign exchange forecasting that challenge the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). Literature is reviewed on the theory of currency fluctuations and their effects on EMH, the variables that affect foreign exchange performance predictions, etc. The objectives, methodology and ethical aspects of the research are outlined, the time scale and resources are indicated.
KEYWORDS: Proposal, foreign exchange forecasting, Euro exchange rates, financial crisis, efficient market hypothesis, EMH,
C/E/502. Greesham Business College
- WORDS:
- 2950
- DATE:
- 2010
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper presents quantitative analysis of the Greesham Business College historical data for the period of seven years using a time-series method to investigate seasonality trends and to forecast fee income levels for the next four quarters.
KEYWORDS: Greesham Business College, quantitative analysis, time series, seasonality, fee income levels,
C/E/477. Role of economic forecasting
- WORDS:
- 1050
- DATE:
- 2010
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper looks at the benefits of economic forecasting for organisations considering the contribution of forecasting to sales and production (S&P), establishing the link between S&P and product life cycle, and explaining the need to invest in forecasting.
KEYWORDS: Forecasting, Economic Analysis, Sales and Production, Consumer Intentions,
C/E/415. Forecast for broadband market development in Finland and in Europe
- WORDS:
- 2800
- DATE:
- 2009
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper looks at the development of the broadband subscription market in Finland over 2001-2008 analyzing its life-cycle using logistic S-curve, estimating the forecast regression, and predicting the levels of broadband market saturation in Finland and in Europe.
KEYWORDS: Forecasting, Market Saturation, Logistic S-curve, Broadband, Finland,
C/F/485. Economic Analysis of Financial Statements
- WORDS:
- 2800
- DATE:
- 2009
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper examines the performance of Retail Ventures Inc. (RVI) and J. C. Penney Company, Inc. (JCP) companies, analysing their Income Statements and Balance Sheets of 2006-2008. Analysis of the costs behaviour is conducted showing how it allows managers to predict profits when sales and production changes.
KEYWORDS: Retail Ventures, J. C. Penney, Cost behaviour, income statement, balance sheet, financial statements,
C/F/433. Sales forecast and project management
- WORDS:
- 1500
- DATE:
- 2009
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper looks at the methods of sale projections and activities management, i.e. the methods of linear functions and more complicated methods of logarithmic and polynomial functions. It is shown that the accuracy of the forecast will depend on the model chosen for the prediction and the past performance data.
KEYWORDS: f, sales, forecast, project, management,
C/F/454. Resource Management: Critical Path Analysis and Cash Flow Forecast
- WORDS:
- 1600
- DATE:
- 2009
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper offers an example of a Critical Path Analysis (CPA) chart and a cash-flow forecast for an office relocation project demonstrating how to lay out a forecast and what factors need to be considered. References to relevant literature are made reinforce the ideas surrounding the creation of a cash-flow forecast.
KEYWORDS: f, resource, management, critical, path, cash, flow, forecast,
C/C/106. Multiple Regression Model
- WORDS:
- 1500
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper offers statistical analysis of the profitability of British firms based on a number of variables. A set of multiple regression and forecasting methods is used to estimate the determinants of profitability.
KEYWORDS: multiple, regression, model,
C/F/326. Forecasting Stock market performance with macroeconomic variables
- WORDS:
- 2300
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper presents a forecast Dow Jones Industrial Average index performance. The forecast is based on the macroeconomic variables such as the price of gold and oil, and GDP. The OLS regression is used as a base model for forecasting.
KEYWORDS: forecasting macroeconomics stock market, Dow Jones, GDP, OLS,
C/F/334. Company Financial Forecasting: Carillion Plc
- WORDS:
- 1600
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper presents financial performance analysis of Carillion Plc examining their recent financial results, accounting statements, and financial ratios obtained from the annual reports for 2001-2007. The future prospects of the company and their financial strategy are discussed, analysis of the company from investors' viewpoint is conducted highlighting the factors that influence the company's performance and suggesting investment recommendations.
KEYWORDS: Financial statement, Carillion, forecast,
C/F/412. Analysis of market factors affecting price fluctuations of corn
- WORDS:
- 2500
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The paper examines the market features that affect the rates of demand and supply of corn. A brief description of the commodity is presented including its sellers and buyers, factors affecting the demand and supply of corn are identified, trends in corn prices over the last three years are considered, assumptions are made about the possible price levels of corn in the next year.
KEYWORDS: Commodity trade, corn, demand and supply, price fluctuation,
S/F/178. Dissertation. Application of FX volatility models in forecasting and risk management
- WORDS:
- 12300
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 129.99 GBP
The dissertation investigates whether the volatility models used for the forecasting of two foreign exchange (FX) rates (Euro/USD and USD/JPY) can be applied to risk management. The literature review covers the studies of 16 different models used for FX volatility forecasts including GARCH, SV, VaR, NNR, etc. The models are applied to the analysis of the FX data for the periods of 1998 to 2002 and 2002 to 2003. Conclusions are made about the combination approaches with relation to risk management and forecasting accuracy.
KEYWORDS: Dissertation, exchange rate, FX, volatility models, forecasting, risk management,
S/F/215. Analysis of financial position and performance of Vodafone Group Plc in 2004-2007 with forecasts for 2008, statistical analysis and calculation of equity fundamental value using Residual Income model
- WORDS:
- 3700
- DATE:
- 2008
- PRICE:
- 39.99 GBP
The paper examines financial position and performance of Vodafone Group PLC over the period from 2004 to 2007 presenting their balance sheets analysis, income statements analysis, and ratio analysis. Comparisons are drawn between the company performance indices and those of their main competitor British Telecom. Forecasts for 2008 are made estimating the company's share value.
KEYWORDS: Financial analysis, balance sheet, income statement, financial ratios, Vodafone, Briti,
C/F/195. Forecasting Stock market performance
- WORDS:
- 2000
- DATE:
- 2007
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The following research is devoted to forecasting Dow Jones Industrial Average index performance. The forecast is based on the macroeconomic variables and OLS regression.
KEYWORDS: Forecasting, macroeconomics, stock market,
C/F/202. A case study of the information gathering, usage and dissemination process for the short term demand forecasting in an online travel company
- WORDS:
- 3000
- DATE:
- 2007
- PRICE:
- 39.99 GBP
This report analyses the processes by which information is collected and managed in an online travel company. The report looks into the specific test case of short-term demand forecasting. The report begins with the description of the objective, and a brief description of the company and its operations to set the scene. Then all relevant sources of information required to aid in decision making for short term demand forecasting is identified and justification is given as to why that information is required, or why information that is deemed required is not included. The types of information gathering techniques used to identify the information required for short term demand forecasting is explained and a sample data set of the information that would be used for short term demand forecasting us collected. Different analytical techniques are used for knowledge discovery from the sample data set. The information that has been gathered is stored in relevant formats and displayed using software packages to achieve different formats of the information. Finally, an assessment of the information requirements of different audiences who will use the information is conducted a method of dissemination is suggested.
KEYWORDS: Web analytics, managing information, information management, online travel company, we,
C/E/130. Design a fictitious company that operates in the UK. If you were given ?50m, would you reinvest it in the UK or use the capital to open another operation in a foreign country?
- WORDS:
- 3000
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 39.99 GBP
The essay provides detailed analysis of an investment of ?50m into three countries: the UK, Russia and Poland. The essay looks at different forms that the business can take (e.g. subsidiary, joint venture), outlines different types of risks (currency, political, economic) and methods on how to hedge those risks. The work proposes debt to equity ratio, and provides reasons for it. Taxation is explained in detail, and is built into 4 year forecast of profits for each country (should it be the receiver of the investment). Other aspects of the business are also covered eg. Marketing, accounting and impact of the employees of the existing firm in the UK.
KEYWORDS: Company, UK, analysis, forecasting, debt, investment, hedge, joint venture, subsidiary,
C/E/138. Using Excel to analyze a sample of data
- WORDS:
- 1700
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
This report develops some basic Excel to analyze two samples of data. 3 groups of descriptive statistics are computed, first for the raw-data and then for grouped-data. The report then evaluates the suitability of the descriptive statistics based on specific features of the data.
KEYWORDS: Excel, descriptive statistics, statistics,
C/F/117. Forecasting Financial Market Volatility
- WORDS:
- 2300
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 29.99 GBP
The following research paper is devoted to analysis of the volatility on the financial markets. The analysis is based on univariate time series properties of the Nasdaq Financial Sector index. The data sample for research covers the period from 12/1992 to 12/2005. The research employs ARMA, and GARCH family models and discusses implication of the asymmetric volatility in the financial data, particular focus is given to feedback trading analysis. The step-by-step process of model selection is fully described, which make this paper particular useful for students interested in econometrics.
KEYWORDS: f, forecasting, financial, market, volatility,
C/F/130. Time Series seasonal adjustment
- WORDS:
- 500
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 9.99 GBP
The following research provides an example of the seasonal time series data adjustment and implementation of exponential smoothing model that is used for forecasting. The analysis is based on disposable household income in UK.
KEYWORDS: Seasonal time series, disposable household income,
C/F/150. Financial forecast
- WORDS:
- 1800
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The analysis of company's financial statements is essential to see the development of company over time, to forecast future potential and to facilitate investors' decision making. However, the analysis has to be presented in the light of internal and external conditions taking place within a business. An application of statistical methods is needed to provide an accuracy of forecast.
KEYWORDS: f, financial, forecast,
P/E/342. Implications of the rational expectations theory
- WORDS:
- 1000
- DATE:
- 2006
- PRICE:
- 19.99 GBP
The paper offers a critique of Keynesian theory reviewing the theory of rational expectations (RE) by Muth which claims that by learning the patterns of economic activity one can anticipate and adapt to economic changes avoiding forecasting errors. Implications of the RE model for the government policy are examined, positive and negative aspects of the theory are outlined.
KEYWORDS: implications, rational, expectations, theory,
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