P/E/531. Returns of BP Amoco oil company: model construction
(2004, 7500 words)
The paper reports on the BP Amoco oil company, giving an overview of its history, profitability, market capitalisation, etc. and constructing a model for the returns of BP using econometric modelling technique, Box Jenkins methodology for ARIMA models, and GARCH methodology. Literature on the theory of modelling techniques is reviewed; statistical data is selected for financial analysis and forecasting. Diagnostic tests of the models are conducted.
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